Update: the match finished Hull City 2-2 Everton. Read the full Hull City vs Everton Match Report: 2-2 for scorers, lineups and stats.
Our Hull City vs Everton prediction involves two sides in the top eight: Everton are seventh and unbeaten on 9 points, while Hull City are eighth on 8. The match kicks off at the MKM Stadium in Hull at 2:00pm Irish time on Sunday 11 October. This preview covers form, home and away records, head-to-head history and the data-based percentages from API-Football. All figures were pulled on 10 October 2026, and none of them is a promise of any result. For more on the weekend, see our Premier League predictions and odds page.
What is the Hull City vs Everton prediction?
API-Football’s data model gives Everton a 45% chance, the draw 45% and Hull City 10%, and it suggests a double chance of Everton or a draw, with fewer than 3.5 goals. These percentages are a statistical estimate built from form, attack and defence ratings and head-to-head records, so treat them as one input rather than a forecast. However, the model does not call Everton clear favourites, because the draw is rated as likely as an away win.
The comparison figures are closer than the headline. Form is 53% to 47% for Everton, attack is level at 50%, the defence measure is 57% to 43% for Everton and the overall score is 56.2% to 43.8%. The Poisson goal model shows an odd 100% to 0% in Hull’s favour, which we treat with caution because the other measures do not agree with it. Our predictions track record shows how our own data-based picks have fared.
Where do Hull City and Everton sit in the table?
Everton are seventh on 9 points from five games, with two wins and three draws, six goals scored and three conceded for a goal difference of +3. Hull City are eighth on 8 points, with two wins, two draws and one defeat, six scored and four conceded, so they are on +2. As a result, the sides are separated by a single point and a single goal of difference.
Because both defences have been tight, the table points to a low-scoring game. Hull have kept three clean sheets in five, against Manchester United, Coventry and Aston Villa, and Everton have kept three as well, against Crystal Palace, Tottenham and Ipswich. In other words, the under 3.5 goals part of the API-Football angle fits what both teams have done so far.
How do the home and away records compare?
Hull have played two league games at home, beating Manchester United 2-0 on 22 August and drawing 0-0 with Aston Villa on 5 September. In addition, that is one win and one draw, with two scored and none conceded. Away from home they won 1-0 at Coventry on 29 August, drew 2-2 at Chelsea on 12 September and lost 2-1 at Newcastle on 19 September.
Everton have been unbeaten in both settings. At home they beat Crystal Palace 2-0, drew 2-2 with Manchester United and beat Ipswich 1-0, scoring five and conceding two. Meanwhile their two away games were a 1-1 draw at Bournemouth on 29 August and a 0-0 draw at Tottenham on 12 September. So Everton have not lost, although they have yet to win away from Goodison Park this season.
What does the head-to-head record say?
The last six meetings are old, so we give them less weight. Everton lead them, with three wins to Hull’s one and two draws, and a goal count of 12 to seven. Meanwhile, the most recent was a 3-2 win for Everton at Hull in the FA Cup on 8 January 2022, and the latest league game was a 4-0 Everton win on 18 March 2017.
Before that, Hull and Everton drew 2-2 on 30 December 2016, Hull won 2-0 on 1 January 2015, the sides drew 1-1 on 3 December 2014 and Everton won 2-0 at Hull on 11 May 2014. However, none of those squads resembles the ones on the pitch now, so the record says more about the clubs’ history than about this weekend.
What could decide Hull City vs Everton?
Hull’s results this season, oldest first, read W-W-D-D-L: a 2-0 win over United, a 1-0 win at Coventry, the goalless draw with Villa, a 2-2 draw at Chelsea and a 2-1 loss at Newcastle. Everton read W-D-D-D-W, beginning with the 2-0 win over Palace and ending with the 1-0 win over Ipswich on 19 September. Since both teams have been hard to beat, a single goal could settle the game.
We have not included injury or suspension information, since we did not verify any for this game, so check the clubs’ official channels before kick-off. For the result as it happens, our live scores page tracks the game.
What else should punters know about Hull City vs Everton?
The quick answers below cover the basics. In addition, you can read our other Premier League previews for this weekend: Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest and Liverpool vs Manchester City.
When is Hull City vs Everton?
The Premier League match kicks off at 2:00pm Irish time on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Where is Hull City vs Everton played?
It is a home game for Hull City at the MKM Stadium in Hull.
What does the data say about Hull City vs Everton?
API-Football’s model gives Hull City 10%, a draw 45% and Everton 45%. It is a statistical estimate, not a promise of any result.
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