Our Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction starts at the wrong end of the table, where Palace are 15th and Forest 13th with four and five points. Palace have lost both home games this season, and Forest have won once. The game kicks off at Selhurst Park in London at 2:00pm Irish time on Sunday 11 October. This preview covers form, home and away records, head-to-head history and the data-based percentages from API-Football. All figures were pulled on 10 October 2026, and none of them is a promise of any result. See our Premier League predictions and odds page for the rest of the round.
What is the Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction?
API-Football’s data model gives Nottingham Forest a 45% chance, the draw 45% and Crystal Palace 10%, and its suggested angle is Forest to win with more than 1.5 goals. These percentages are a statistical estimate built from form, attack and defence ratings and head-to-head records, so treat them as one input rather than a forecast. However, the draw is rated as likely as a Forest win, so the angle is a combined reading and not a plain pick.
The comparison figures lean Forest’s way as well. In addition, the overall score is 60.5% to 39.5%, the Poisson goal model gives Forest 78% to 22% and the defence measure is 69% to 31%. That said, Palace rate higher on attack, at 60% to 40%. In other words, the model sees Palace as the more attacking team and Forest as the better defensive one, which fits the table below. Our predictions track record shows how our own data-based picks have fared.
Where do Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest sit in the table?
Crystal Palace are 15th on 4 points from five games, with one win, one draw and three defeats. Meanwhile, they have scored six and conceded 11, a goal difference of -5, one of the weakest in the division. Nottingham Forest are 13th on 5 points from five, with one win, two draws and two defeats, four scored and five conceded, so they are on -1.
Because Forest have scored only four goals in five games, the table suggests a low-scoring side, while Palace have shipped at least two in four of their five. Therefore the sides have different problems: Palace’s issue is the number of goals they concede, and Forest’s is how few they score. Also, the Forest win in the data model is mostly an argument about Palace’s defence.
How do the home and away records compare?
Palace have lost both league games at Selhurst Park, 4-1 to Manchester City on 28 August and 3-2 to Ipswich on 12 September. Furthermore, they have scored three and conceded seven at home. Away from home they lost 2-0 at Everton on 22 August, won 3-2 at Fulham on 5 September and drew 0-0 at Leeds on 20 September.
Forest have played three at the City Ground and not scored there. Then they lost 1-0 to Leeds on 22 August, drew 0-0 with Tottenham on 5 September and lost 1-0 to Coventry on 19 September. Meanwhile their two away games brought a 2-2 draw at Liverpool on 29 August and a 2-1 win at Aston Villa on 12 September, so they have scored all four of their goals on the road. As a result, Forest travel as the better away side in a very small sample.
What does the head-to-head record say?
These two are used to level scores. Of the last six league meetings, five have been drawn, four of them 1-1, and the other was a 1-0 Forest win at the City Ground on 21 October 2024. As a result, the most recent games were 1-1 draws on 1 February 2026 at Forest and on 24 August 2025 at Palace.
Going back further, the sides drew 1-1 at Palace on 5 May 2025, 1-1 at Forest on 30 March 2024 and 0-0 at Palace on 7 October 2023. In addition, over the six games Forest have scored five goals and Palace four. However, those meetings come from a different set of squads and circumstances, so the pattern is a curiosity more than a forecast.
What could decide Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Palace’s results this season, oldest first, read L-L-W-L-D: a 2-0 loss at Everton, a 4-1 loss to City, a 3-2 win at Fulham, a 3-2 loss to Ipswich and the goalless draw at Leeds. Forest read L-D-D-W-L, with the 1-0 home defeat to Coventry on 19 September the latest. Since Palace have been in goal-filled games and Forest in tight ones, the first goal could shape the afternoon.
We have not included injury or suspension information, since we did not verify any for this game, so check the clubs’ official channels before kick-off. For the result as it happens, our live scores page tracks the game.
What else should punters know about Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
The quick answers below cover the basics. In addition, you can read our other Premier League previews for this weekend: Liverpool vs Manchester City and Chelsea vs Bournemouth.
When is Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match kicks off at 2:00pm Irish time on Sunday 11 October 2026.
Where is Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest played?
It is a home game for Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in London.
What does the data say about Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
API-Football’s model gives Crystal Palace 10%, a draw 45% and Nottingham Forest 45%. It is a statistical estimate, not a promise of any result.
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