Our Manchester United vs Tottenham prediction rests on a contrast: United are 12th with five points, while Tottenham are bottom of the Premier League with two and have scored only twice in five games. The match kicks off at Old Trafford in Manchester at 5:30pm Irish time on Saturday 10 October. This preview covers form, home and away records, head-to-head history and the data-based percentages from API-Football. All figures were pulled on 9 October 2026, and none of them is a promise of any result. For the full weekend, see our Premier League predictions and odds page.
Update: the game finished Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham. Read the full Manchester United vs Tottenham match report.
What is the Manchester United vs Tottenham prediction?
API-Football’s data model gives Manchester United a 45% chance, the draw 45% and Tottenham 10%, and it names United as the likely winner. These percentages are a statistical estimate built from form, attack and defence ratings and head-to-head records, so treat them as one input rather than a forecast. However, the 45% draw figure is the same as the home figure, so the model does not separate a United win from a draw on its own numbers.
The comparison figures give United the edge on most measures. Form is 71% to 29%, attack is 80% to 20% and the overall score is 55.4% to 44.6%. Meanwhile, the head-to-head measure goes Tottenham’s way at 71% to 29%, and goals are close at 47% to 53%. So the model sees a United side in better current shape but a Tottenham side with the better recent record in this fixture. Our predictions track record shows how our own data-based picks have fared.
Where do United and Tottenham sit in the table?
Manchester United are 12th on 5 points from five games, with one win, two draws and two defeats. They have scored eight and conceded eight, so their goal difference is level at zero. Tottenham are 20th and last on 2 points, with no wins, two draws and three defeats, two goals scored and eight conceded for a goal difference of -6.
Because United’s five games have produced 16 goals and Tottenham’s have produced ten, the sides look quite different, and that shapes the goals picture. United have failed to score in two of their five, while Tottenham have failed to score in four. In other words, the visitors’ problem so far has been at the other end of the pitch, and that is the biggest difference between the sides in the data. Because of that, the goals market is worth watching as much as the result.
How do the home and away records compare?
United have played two league games at Old Trafford, beating Ipswich 5-2 on 30 August and losing 1-0 to Manchester City on 13 September. That gives them one win and one defeat, with five scored and three conceded. Away from home they have drawn two and lost one, scoring three and conceding five, with a 2-0 defeat at Hull City and draws at Everton (2-2) and Fulham (1-1).
Tottenham’s record is thin on both fronts. At home they have lost twice and drawn once, with two scored and five conceded, including a 2-3 defeat to Aston Villa on 19 September. Away they have drawn 0-0 at Nottingham Forest and lost 3-0 at Brentford, so they have not scored on the road. Therefore the visitors travel to Manchester without a goal away from home this season, which is also why their away form looks worse than their draws suggest.
What does the head-to-head record say?
Tottenham have the better recent record in this fixture, even though United won the last one. Over the last six meetings in all competitions, Tottenham have won four, United one and one has been drawn, with Tottenham scoring 11 goals to United’s seven. United won 2-0 at Old Trafford on 7 February 2026, and the sides drew 2-2 at Tottenham on 8 November 2025.
Before that, Tottenham won 1-0 in a Europa League meeting on 21 May 2025, won 1-0 in the league on 16 February 2025, won 4-3 in the League Cup on 19 December 2024 and won 3-0 at Old Trafford on 29 September 2024. However, the most recent league meeting at Old Trafford ended in a United win, and these results come from a different run of form for both clubs.
What could decide Manchester United vs Tottenham?
United’s last five league results, oldest first, read L-W-D-L-D: a 2-0 loss at Hull, a 5-2 win over Ipswich, a 2-2 draw at Everton, a 1-0 loss to City and a 1-1 draw at Fulham on 20 September. Tottenham read L-L-D-D-L, with a 3-0 loss at Brentford, a 2-0 home loss to Newcastle, 0-0 draws with Forest and Everton, and the 3-2 defeat to Villa.
Since Tottenham have drawn 0-0 twice, they can defend, but they have not been able to score, so a United goal could decide the game. We have not included injury or suspension information, since we did not verify any for this game, so check the clubs’ official channels before kick-off. For the result as it happens, our live scores page tracks the game.
What else should punters know about Manchester United vs Tottenham?
The quick answers below cover the basics. In addition, you can read our other Premier League previews for this weekend: Arsenal vs Leeds and Aston Villa vs Brentford.
When is Manchester United vs Tottenham?
The Premier League match kicks off at 5:30pm Irish time on Saturday 10 October 2026.
Where is Manchester United vs Tottenham played?
It is a home game for Manchester United at Old Trafford in Manchester.
What does the data say about Manchester United vs Tottenham?
API-Football’s model gives Manchester United 45%, a draw 45% and Tottenham 10%. It is a statistical estimate, not a promise of any result.
Where to bet: thinking about a bet on football? Compare bookmakers on our betting sites in Ireland page, where we list only brands whose licence we have checked.
18+. Please play responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, GamblingCare.ie offers free support on 1800 936 725. See our responsible gambling page.
