Our Everton vs Chelsea prediction looks at a lunchtime Premier League game at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 12:30pm Irish time. Both teams have 10 points from six games, and they sit fifth and sixth. Everton are unbeaten, but Chelsea arrive after a 5-1 win over Bournemouth, so there is plenty to weigh up.
What is the Everton vs Chelsea prediction?
API-Football’s data model gives Everton a 10% chance, the draw 45% and Chelsea 45%. Its advice is a double chance of a draw or a Chelsea win, and it lists fewer than 2.5 goals for each side. These percentages are a statistical estimate built from form, attack, defence and past meetings, so they are not a promise of any result.
The comparison figures are mixed. Chelsea lead on attack at 67% to 33%, on head-to-head at 71% to 29% and on goals at 75% to 25%. However, Everton lead on defence at 69% to 31%, and form is level at 50% each. The combined total is 52.7% for Chelsea and 47.3% for Everton, which is closer than the headline percentages suggest.
Where do Everton and Chelsea sit in the Premier League table?
Everton are fifth with 10 points from six games, after two wins and four draws. They have not lost, and they have scored eight and conceded five, for a goal difference of +3. Chelsea are sixth, also on 10 points, with three wins, one draw and two defeats.
Chelsea’s goal numbers are the most striking. They have scored 15 and conceded 13, so their goal difference is only +2. As a result, a game with goals in it would not be a surprise, although the data’s goal line points the other way. A win would take either side to 13 points, level with third-placed Brighton before the rest of the weekend’s results.
How have Everton and Chelsea been playing recently?
Everton drew 2-2 at Hull City on 11 October. Before that they beat Ipswich 1-0 at home on 19 September and drew 0-0 at Tottenham on 12 September. Four of their six league games have been draws, so they are hard to beat but have not yet turned that into a run of wins.
Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5-1 at home on 10 October. Before that they lost 3-0 at Brentford on 18 September and drew 2-2 with Hull City at home on 12 September. That said, a big home win does not always carry over, so the trip to Merseyside is a different test. Our Premier League predictions and odds hub shows how the other sides compare.
What does the head-to-head record say?
API-Football lists the last ten meetings, and all ten were in the Premier League. Chelsea won four, Everton won three and three ended level. The most recent was a 3-0 Everton win at home on 21 March 2026, which came after Chelsea won 2-0 at home on 13 December 2025 and 1-0 at home on 26 April 2025.
Going further back, Chelsea won 6-0 at home on 15 April 2024, while Everton won 2-0 at home on 10 December 2023. The two also drew 0-0 at Everton on 22 December 2024. Because Everton won the latest meeting by three goals, it is worth remembering that the 71% head-to-head figure for Chelsea covers all ten games, not just the last one.
What could decide Everton vs Chelsea?
The data points to a contest between Everton’s defence and Chelsea’s attack. Everton have conceded five goals in six games, while Chelsea have scored 15. Meanwhile Chelsea’s own defence has let in 13, so Everton will fancy their chances of scoring too.
We have not included injury or suspension information, since we did not verify any for this game, so check the clubs’ official channels before kick-off. For the result as it happens, our live scores page updates through the day.
What else should punters know about Everton vs Chelsea?
The quick answers below cover the basics. You can also read our Brentford vs Liverpool prediction and our Leeds vs Manchester United prediction and our Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction for more from the same Premier League weekend.
When is Everton vs Chelsea?
The Premier League game kicks off at 12:30pm Irish time on Saturday 17 October 2026, as gameweek 7 begins.
Where is Everton vs Chelsea played?
It is a home game for Everton at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool.
What does the data say about Everton vs Chelsea?
API-Football’s model gives Everton 10%, a draw 45% and Chelsea 45%, with advice of a draw or a Chelsea win. It is a statistical estimate, not a promise of any result.
Where to bet: thinking about a bet on football? Compare bookmakers on our betting sites in Ireland page, where we list only brands whose licence we have checked.
18+. Please play responsibly. If gambling is causing you harm, GamblingCare.ie offers free support on 1800 936 725. See our responsible gambling page.
