Update: the match finished Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Bohemians. Read the full Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians Match Report: 2-1 for scorers, lineups and stats.
Our Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians prediction starts with the title race: Shamrock Rovers lead the League of Ireland Premier Division on 62 points, three clear of Bohemians on 59. The Dublin derby kicks off at Tallaght Stadium at 8pm Irish time on Monday 12 October. This preview covers form, home and away records, the last eight meetings and the data-based percentages from API-Football. All figures were pulled on 11 October 2026, and none of them is a promise of any result. Our live scores page tracks the game as it happens.
What is the Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians prediction?
API-Football’s data model gives Bohemians a 45% chance, the draw 45% and Shamrock Rovers 10%. In addition, it names Bohemians as the likely winner, with a note that a draw or a Bohemians win is the safer reading of its own numbers. These percentages are a statistical estimate, not a promise of any result, so treat them as one input.
The comparison figures are mixed. Bohemians are ahead on form at 65% to 35%, attack at 63% to 38% and defence at 53% to 47%, but the Poisson goal model has Shamrock Rovers narrowly ahead at 54% to 46%, and the head-to-head comparison favours them 60% to 40%. In other words, the model likes Bohemians’ recent run while giving Shamrock Rovers credit for the history. You can see how our own data-based picks have fared on the predictions track record page.
Where do Shamrock Rovers and Bohemians sit in the table?
Shamrock Rovers are top on 62 points from 32 games, with 18 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats. Meanwhile, they have scored 52 and conceded 32, for a goal difference of +20. Bohemians are third on 59 points from 32 games, with 17 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats, scoring 57 and conceding 38 for a goal difference of +19.
St Patrick’s Athletic are second, also on 59 points from 32 games, with a goal difference of +27. Because the three are so close, a win for either side here matters. Shamrock Rovers would go six clear of Bohemians, while a Bohemians win would put them level with the leaders on 62.
How do the home and away records compare?
Shamrock Rovers have been strong at home this season. In 16 league games at home they have won 12, drawn 3 and lost 1, scoring 31 and conceding 14. Away from home they have won 6, drawn 5 and lost 5, scoring 21 and conceding 18, so the gap between their two records is large.
Bohemians have been the opposite. They have won 10 of 16 away games, drawing 2 and losing 4, with 30 scored and 19 conceded, while at home they have won 7, drawn 6 and lost 3, scoring 27 and conceding 19. That said, Bohemians’ best form is on the road, and this is a game in Tallaght. As a result, the venue and the form pull in different directions.
How have the teams played recently?
Shamrock Rovers’ last five league games, oldest first, were a 3-3 draw at Derry City, a 0-0 draw with Shelbourne, a 2-0 defeat at St Patrick’s Athletic, a 3-2 win over Waterford and a 3-1 win over Drogheda United on 8 October. Also, that is two wins, two draws and a defeat, with nine goals scored and eight conceded.
Bohemians have won all of their last five league games. Furthermore, they beat Derry City 5-3 and Sligo Rovers 3-0 at home, won 3-2 at Galway United, beat Drogheda United 2-1 at home and won 2-1 at Dundalk on 2 October. They have scored 15 and conceded seven in that run, so the 65% form figure in the data has some basis.
What does the head-to-head record say?
The last eight league meetings are level, with four wins each. Shamrock Rovers won 2-1 at Bohemians on 25 May 2026 and 2-1 at home on 17 April, while Bohemians won 3-2 at home on 27 February. Going back further, Shamrock Rovers won 2-1 at home on 26 September 2025, Bohemians won 2-0 at home on 23 June 2025 and 3-2 at Tallaght on 21 April 2025, and Bohemians won 1-0 at home on 16 February 2025. Shamrock Rovers won 1-0 at home on 23 September 2024.
Across those eight games, Shamrock Rovers have scored 11 goals and Bohemians 12, which shows how tight the fixture is. However, Shamrock Rovers have won the last two, so the recent edge is theirs. We have not included injury or suspension information, since we did not verify any for this game, so check the clubs’ official channels before kick-off.
What else should punters know about Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
The quick answers below cover the basics. You can also read our Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United report and our Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers report for more from the League of Ireland.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
The League of Ireland Premier Division match kicks off at 8pm Irish time on Monday 12 October 2026.
Where is Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians played?
It is a home game for Shamrock Rovers at Tallaght Stadium in Dublin.
What does the data say about Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians?
API-Football’s model gives Shamrock Rovers 10%, a draw 45% and Bohemians 45%. It is a statistical estimate, not a promise of any result.
Where to bet: thinking about a bet on football? Compare bookmakers on our betting sites in Ireland page, where we list only brands whose licence we have checked.
Also on Monday 12 October: our Coventry vs Newcastle Prediction and Preview.
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